Microsoft: "Det är inte vårt fel att ingen köper Windows 8"

Nej, jag tror inte alls siffrorna är tagna ur luften och vad jag vet så räknades enbart direct-to-customer och OEM licenser i de 40/60 miljonerna. Vilket var jämfört med Windows 7 (som Microsoft då påstod var tidernas bästsäljande OS ever) ganska likt.

Jag tror också att Wikipedia, historiskt sett, är en datapunkt att lita på men det finns även där konstigheter.

T.ex. följande under OS version, mobile devices;
Mobile other 1,066 M 0.47%
Nokia 418 M 0.19%
Other 149 M 0.07%
Windows 366 M 0.16%
Windows CE 48.8 M 0.02%
Windows NT 6.1 587 M 0.26%

vilka av dessa är Windows Phone 7. Vad med 7.5, 7.8 eller 8?

Windows CE skulle kunna vara Windows Phone 7 - 7.8 men att de enbart utgör 0.02% är ganska otroligt. Mer troligt är att WinCE ovan är de gamla Windows Mobile enheterna som numer är helt extinkta förutom på vissa logistikavdelningar.

Okay, så Windows NT 6.1 då? Vilka mobila Windows produkter är detta? NT6.1 är Windows 7 och antalet verkliga mobila enheter med detta operativsystemet var väldigt litet. Oavsett bör varken WP7 eller WP8 räknas in här. Windows skulle kunna vara WP7/8 men de borde ju helt klart separeras då de är, ur en ren teknisk synspunkt, helt skilda. Nokia går jag ut ifrån är Symbian. Att Windows är WP8 medans WinCE är WP7 tror jag inte då det finns fler WP8 enheter in the wild än WP7.

Att antalet WP7/8 anrop skulle vara litet nog att hamna under kategorin Mobile other eller Other finner jag också svårt att tro men vad vet jag.

Sedan finns NT6.2 inte alls listat under mobila enheter. även fast Surface RT har sålt sådär, Surface Pro har sålt bra (dock bara i tre [stora] länder än så länge) och det finns ett antal andra mobila enheter med Windows RT/8 ute i handeln. Ok, kanske de inte ser Surface som en mobil enhet, men då blir ju de totala siffrorna fel ändå?

Jämför man sedan enbart surfplattor skiljer det endast 0.04% mellan Android och Windows. Visserligen verkar data inte finnas per version av tablett OS, men antalet faktiska plattor sålda med Windows 7 eller tidigare är marginella. Och visst, antalet Android plattor som säljs är fortfarande litet jämfört med iPad men att Windows 8/RT skulle nått ikapp Androids försprång på lite drygt ett halvår köper jag heller inte.

Slutligen har Wikipedia appar både för Windows 8/RT och Phone - jag använder oftast dessa när jag kollar upp saker numer. Räknas dessa besök in i den totala statistiken? Hur skiljer de då på desktop från surfplatta? Det är visserligen inga problem att programmatiskt plocka fram värden som kan skickas med varje request, men vilka värden har de då bestämt sig att använda? Gör dessa verkligen riktig skillnad på desktop vs mobil?

Rank Distribution H.P.D*
1 Mint 3875<
2 Mageia 2163>
3 Ubuntu 1924>
4 Fedora 1597>
5 Debian 1484>
6 openSUSE 1395=
7 Arch 1188=
8 PCLinuxOS 1184=
9 Puppy 894<
10 Manjaro 893>
11 CentOS 811=
12 Zorin 775<
13 Snowlinux 723=
14 Bodhi 673>
15 OS4 651=
16 SolusOS 626<
17 Slackware 613<
18 Lubuntu 549<
19 CrunchBang 536=
20 FreeBSD 531

Versions Hits Percent
Windows 32154755 43.8 %
Windows XP 6809936 9.2 %
Windows Vista 4243321 5.7 %
Windows (unknown version) 194247 0.2 %
Windows NT 10085 0 %
Windows ME 2962 0 %
Windows Vista (LongHorn) 1072666 1.4 %
Windows Mobile 6526 0 %
Windows 98 15269 0 %
Windows 95 1208 0 %
Windows 2008 19568064 26.6 %
Windows 2003 175275 0.2 %
Windows 2000 54936 0 %
Windows 3.xx 260 0 %
BSD 157348 0.2 %
OpenBSD 16098 0 %
NetBSD 4474 0 %
GNU/kFreeBSD 505 0 %
FreeBSD 136271 0.1 %
Linux 33290642 45.4 %
Zenwalk GNU Linux 1061 0 %
Vine Linux 918 0 %
VectorLinux 780 0 %
Ubuntu 2459151 3.3 %
Suse 113246 0.1 %
Red Hat 12544 0 %
PCLinuxOS 11803 0 %
Momonga Linux 203 0 %
Mandriva (or Mandrake) 12601 0 %
Gentoo 4473 0 %
Fedora 25010 0 %
Debian 85932 0.1 %
Centos 7164 0 %
ASPLinux 89 0 %
Google Android 1358276 1.8 %
GNU Linux (Unknown or unspecified distribution) 29197391 39.8 %
Macintosh 4165677 5.6 %
Mac OS X 4158511 5.6 %
Mac OS 7166 0 %
Others 3552055 4.8 %
Unknown 3263868 4.4 %
Unknown Unix system 116905 0.1 %
Java Mobile 85913 0.1 %
BlackBerry 32587 0 %
Symbian OS 15684 0 %
Sun Solaris 15072 0 %
Java 11031 0 %
Nintendo Wii 4445 0 %
Sony PlayStation 4021 0 %
OS/2 1272 0 %
iPhone OS (iPhone/iPod) 357 0 %
RISC OS 305 0 %
AmigaOS 286 0 %
Irix 129 0 %
BeOS 106 0 %
QNX 46 0 %
Commodore 64 15 0 %
GNU Hurd 13 0 %

Linux Android 13,918 M 6.19%
Linux Other 1,842 M 0.82%
Linux Ubuntu 1,128 M 0.50%
Linux Fedora 18.7 M 0.01%
Linux SUSE 17.3 M 0.01%
Linux Mint 11.2 M 0.00%
Linux Debian 10 M 0.00%
Linux Mandriva 7.4 M 0.00%
Linux Red Hat 3.1 M 0.00%
Linux CentOS 3.1 M 0.00%
Linux Kubuntu 2 M 0.00%
Linux Mips 1.9 M 0.00%
Linux Epiphany 1.7 M 0.00%
Linux Gentoo 907 k 0.00%
Linux Arch 312 k 0.00%
Linux PCLinuxOS 168 k 0.00%
Linux Oracle 150 k 0.00%
Linux Motor 133 k 0.00%
Linux Slackware 66 k 0.00%
Linux openSUSE 30 k 0.00%
Linux Xubuntu 30 k 0.00%

Fast den visar ju bara vilka distributionssidor på distrowatch folk tittar på mest, inte vad som faktiskt används. De säger ju till och med själva:

Between the new innovations that emerge practically every day and the fairly constant rate of change in general, things never stay the same for long in technology.

Case in point: DistroWatch's page hit rankings for Linux distributions. I've covered DistroWatch's top 10 at the end of each of the past two years, and the differences never fail to be striking.

Windows 8 now accounts for 5.6% of all U.S. smartphone operating systems; a paltry number compared to the incumbents. But there are a few points worth noting before discounting Windows 8. First, as the relative new-comer on the block, consistent growth is what investors should concentrate on in these early stages. Overtaking Android or iOS was never going to happen overnight.

Another worthy consideration is comparing Microsoft's market share with last year's Q1. During the same period in 2012, Windows 8 owned 3.7% of the stateside OS market. Yes, Microsoft's OS share remains far behind the two leaders, but a 50% jump shouldn't be discounted. If nothing else, the significant improvement in Microsoft's piece of the OS pie demonstrates an extremely positive trend.

Finally, when feature phone users traded up to a smartphone this past quarter, turns out a lot of them chose Windows 8. According to Kantar's data, 52% of users who bought a Windows phone did so after ditching their feature phone*, fueling Microsoft's year-over-year growth. By contrast, most iOS and Android buyers just swapped their smartphones.

Microsoft own-brand tablet PCs a ploy to drive Windows 8 adoption, says Acer founder
Aaron Lee, Taipei; Adam Hwang, DIGITIMES [Wednesday 20 June 2012]

While Microsoft's unveiling of two own-brand tablet PCs has surprised the supply chain in Taiwan and brought worries on PC vendors, Acer founder Stan Shih has commented that Microsoft has no real intention to sell own-brand tablet PCs and the offering is an ploy to boost adoption of Windows 8.

Microsoft hopes that marketing its own-brand tablet PCs will encourage vendors to offer Windows 8 tablet PCs and thereby help expand market demand for the product line, Shih analyzed. Once the purpose is realized, Microsoft will not offer more models, Shih said. Vendors adopting Windows 8 should interpret Microsoft's intentions positively, as they will benefit from Microsoft's marketing, Shih indicated.

Microsoft has no reason to sell hardware because such sales bring much less profit than licensing its software products, according to Shih. In addition, Microsoft will face many difficulties marketing tablet PCs on its own, including production management, distribution, and after-sales maintenance service, Shih indicated.

Microsoft (NSDQ:MSFT) CEO Steve Ballmer told CRN that the company’s new Surface tablet is anything but a publicity stunt. “It is not a publicity stunt,” said Ballmer responding to a question on whether the Surface tablet was designed simply to promote Windows 8 and could eventually be pulled from the market. “I mean, it is a real piece of hardware that real blood, sweat and tears [went into], and engineering excellence and innovation and creativity and capital. We are in. We are also in with our [hardware OEM] partners, but we are in.”

"In the United States, Windows boosted its share to 5.6% from 3.7% a year ago, Kantar said. Windows grabbed 10.9% of smartphone sales in Italy, 7.2% in France and 7% in Britain."

Det kan vara för att Netmarketshare speglar sanningen i möjligaste mån. De har störst antal sidor i sin bevakning. Plus att det finns ett mönster i att de som misstror Netmarketshare också verkar ha en känslomässig investering i den produkt vars marknadsandel man påstår inte stämmer. Kollar man t. ex på globalstats ligger ju siffrorna för Windows phone ganska nära de på netmarketshare, även om det i globalstats statistik ser ut som om Windows phone har ökat något.

Site title Market share for mobile, browsers, operating systems and search engines | NetMarketShare
Date first seen January 2009
Site rank 107508

Site title StatCounter Global Stats - Browser, OS, Search Engine including Mobile Market Share
Date first seen May 2009
Site rank 54555

Alexa Traffic Rank Reputation
Global 79,764
Global Rank

United States Flag 63,484
Rank in US

2,954
Sites Linking In

Alexa Traffic Rank Reputation
Global 248
Global Rank

United States Flag 283
Rank in US

755,119
Sites Linking In

According to the StatCounter analysis Windows 7 overtook XP in the United States in April 2011 and in Europe in July. However, in Asia Windows XP still retains a clear lead at 55% in October compared to 36% for Windows 7.

Not everyone agrees though that XP is now in second place. NetMarketShare, another Web traffic analysis company, has XP still hanging on to first place with 48.03% of the market and Windows 7 still catching up with only 34.62%. If the delta remains the same Windows 7 won't catch up with XP on NetMarketShare's view until early 2012.

StatCounter Global Stats are based on aggregate data collected on a sample of over 15 billion page views per month (4 billion in the US) from their network of more than three million websites. NetMarketShare data collection network has over 40,000 websites, and counts unique visitors once for visit for day. In summary, NetMarketShare's data is compiled from approximately 160 million unique visits per month.

What that means is that StatCounter counts all page views while NetMarketShare looks at single site visits. That in turn imples that very active users of a particular operating system would weigh more heavily on StatCounter's numbers.

Det pratas ofta om att vi minsann inte ska gnälla på Windows 8 eftersom Microsoft omhuldar och tänker på utvecklare ordentligt. Personligen tycker jag det är en helt irrelevant poäng när man pratar om användarnöjdhet, men det är en annan historia... Hur som helst verkar även det vara ett förljuget argument då många utvecklare nu är missnöjda med att de inte tjänar pengar på reklamfinansierade appar längre. http://thenextweb.com/microsoft/2013/05/03/microsoft-quiet-as...

Surface RT tablet users seeking new and exciting apps are bound to be disappointed, according to CIO.com blogger James A. Martin. Here's why. [...]

The other day I was curious to see if any must-have new apps were released recently for Windows RT. (Call me a cockeyed optimist.) So I fired up my Microsoft Surface RT tablet and scanned the 99 apps in its app store's "New Releases" section. [...]

Perhaps the most noteworthy:
* Hot Girls Daily, a free app featuring a new photo every day of "one smoking hot girl" and yet another R-rated Windows Store app. [...]

Meanwhile, there are still no official Windows RT apps for LinkedIn, Facebook, Pandora, YouTube, Google Maps, Google Drive or Gmail.

US equity valuations are currently not symptomatic of a stock market bubble. However, with frenetically rising stock prices in the face of simultaneously deteriorating macro and micro fundamentals, two questions are begged: First, what is driving the rise in stock prices represented in broad indices such as the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq? It is clearly not the recent evolution of fundamentals in the form of macroeconomic and corporate earnings forecasts. Second, how sustainable is the current rally and how far can it go? The present article is about potential developments in the intermediate term time frame, which I define as 0-12 months. Specifically, in this essay, I will argue that many of the requirements for the formation of a liquidity-driven stock market bubble are currently falling into place.

Siffrorna för April från W3schools http://www.w3schools.com/browsers/browsers_os.asp har inkommit och visar en kraftig inbromsning av Windows 8's ökning, samt att Windows 7 åter ökar.

That said, some numbers are better than no numbers — and in a new Q&A blog post, Tami Reller, the Microsoft executive responsible for the business side of Windows, has disclosed some new ones, while failing to mention one meaningful metric.

Reller says that Microsoft has sold more than 100 million copies of Windows 8 since the operating system shipped on October 26. That means that the new version has matched Windows 7's performance rather precisely: that version also sold 100 million licenses in the first six months. Again, it's tough to know what to make of this fact. You could argue that Windows 8 should be outpacing Windows 7 given that there are now more PCs in the world than there were in 2009, when Windows 7 debuted; then again, you could also make the case that stable Windows sales are an accomplishment given that PC sales have been plunging lately.

Microsoft sold about the same number of Windows 8 licenses in six months after release as it did with Windows 7. But its usage share stands at one third of what Windows 7 had in the same time. There's a disconnect between what's being sold and what's being used. <...>

If we had a figure of how many Windows 8 copies were actually activated on each machine — a figure that Microsoft knows, but has never released for any of its Windows versions — we could determine the ratio between Windows 8 licenses sold and Windows 8 activations, which would then ultimately show us how many are still on store shelves.

While Windows 7 and Windows 8 share the same amount of licenses sold during roughly the same time since general availability, Windows 8 remains mostly on the shelf — either in branded box packaging, or in a computer maker's warehouse.

Ja, fina siffror är bara fina så länge ett visst nummer är acceptabelt i förhållande till hur många månader som förflutit. Jag har spekulerat i en annan tråd. Jag tror nämligen att en stor del återigen är OEM och att det denna gång är 7"-plattorna som äter licenser. Det lär dock bli samma visa där, dvs att de eventuellt slår i en vägg när partnertillverkare inte längre behöver licenser. I så gott som all användarstatistik som presenteras syns ju en inbromsning i ökningen nu, och jag tror inte det är långt kvar tills det förvandlas till ett stillestånd, och så småningom en minskning, likt vad som hände Vista.